Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002310 0.002441 0.002579 0.002738 0.002917 0.003112 0.003344
2025-04-13 0.002089 0.002265 0.002461 0.002699 0.002984 0.003320 0.003755
2025-04-20 0.001875 0.002064 0.002282 0.002556 0.002898 0.003323 0.003912
2025-04-27 0.001780 0.001987 0.002232 0.002552 0.002971 0.003519 0.004336
2025-05-04 0.001732 0.001960 0.002237 0.002611 0.003123 0.003834 0.004987
2025-05-11 0.001667 0.001905 0.002200 0.002609 0.003188 0.004033 0.005507
2025-05-18 0.001640 0.001894 0.002218 0.002678 0.003357 0.004410 0.006434
2025-05-25 0.001585 0.001843 0.002177 0.002661 0.003396 0.004586 0.007051
2025-06-01 0.001525 0.001783 0.002119 0.002615 0.003384 0.004671 0.007510
2025-06-08 0.001505 0.001774 0.002129 0.002666 0.003529 0.005056 0.008827
2025-06-15 0.001481 0.001756 0.002127 0.002699 0.003646 0.005412 0.010312
2025-06-22 0.001437 0.001712 0.002083 0.002663 0.003642 0.005529 0.011185
2025-06-29 0.001383 0.001651 0.002017 0.002592 0.003578 0.005525 0.011735
2025-07-06 0.001343 0.001610 0.001977 0.002562 0.003584 0.005678 0.013056
2025-07-13 0.001278 0.001531 0.001880 0.002434 0.003401 0.005376 0.012273
2025-07-20 0.001253 0.001508 0.001861 0.002432 0.003450 0.005620 0.014213
2025-07-27 0.001245 0.001508 0.001877 0.002486 0.003611 0.006178 0.019021
2025-08-03 0.001223 0.001486 0.001860 0.002484 0.003662 0.006475 0.023376
2025-08-10 0.001218 0.001490 0.001881 0.002547 0.003852 0.007230 0.038204
2025-08-17 0.001195 0.001465 0.001857 0.002532 0.003877 0.007502 0.051963
2025-08-24 0.001166 0.001433 0.001820 0.002490 0.003839 0.007563 0.063815
2025-08-31 0.001160 0.001432 0.001832 0.002536 0.004004 0.008392 0.261833
2025-09-07 0.001150 0.001426 0.001835 0.002566 0.004133 0.009181 NaN